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According to the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS), for this outlook period (Saturday 18th to Wednesday 22nd May, 2024), the major synoptic feature would be a ridging pattern across the Lesser Antilles. Low-level convergence and some moisture advection across the Lesser Antilles is expected to cause some mixed conditions during this outlook period. Sunshine and fair conditions are likely to be interrupted at times by cloudy patches, producing light or moderate showers over varying areas. There will exist a 10% to 30% chance for an isolated heavy shower to develop, favouring the Leeward Islands, especially near hilly areas.
For this outlook period, Trinidad and Tobago is situated at the Southern extremities of the ridge, and together with an equatorial flow, generally from the Southeast, there is likely to be some surface convergence at times. Mostly fair conditions for most of this outlook period is expected, but there are likely to be partly cloudy to cloudy periods at times in some areas. Increased equatorial moisture advection on Saturday (18th May, 2024), together with low-level convergence, is likely to produce some partly cloudy periods with a 30% to 40% chance for an isolated heavy shower to develop, mainly over Southeastern to Southwestern offshore areas of Trinidad, Southern Trinidad and gulf areas of Western Trinidad. There is also a 20% chance for an isolated thunderstorm to develop over these areas. Elsewhere will be mostly fair conditions with brief showers in a few areas. Less moisture advection is expected on Sunday (19th May, 2024), but with low-level convergence and heating, it is likely for a moderate shower to interrupt fair conditions, mainly over Southeastern areas of Trinidad. On Monday (20th May, 2024), during the pre-dawn and early morning, a patch of equatorial moisture from the Southeast, together with low-level convergence, is likely to produce a few moderate showers, favouring Southeastern offshore areas of Trinidad, South Trinidad and Western gulf areas. There will also be a 10% to 20% chance for an isolated heavy shower or thunderstorm to develop. Otherwise, we can expect mostly fair conditions with the chance for a moderate shower over Tobago or Northeast Trinidad during the afternoon. There will be mostly fair and sunny conditions on Tuesday (21st May, 2024), with the chance for a brief shower favouring Northeast Trinidad or Tobago. On Wednesday (22nd May, 2024), some surface convergence to the Southeast of Trinidad and moisture advection from the Southeast, is likely to give a 20% to 30% chance for a heavy shower or thunderstorm to develop over Southern coastal and offshore areas of Trinidad during the early morning. As the morning continues into early afternoon, partly cloudy periods could develop, interrupting otherwise fair conditions with a light or moderate shower in a few areas. There is a 10% to 20% chance for an isolated heavy shower during the afternoon, over Western gulf areas of Trinidad. The wind in the near-surface to mid-levels is expected to continue to be steady and moderate for this outlook period. It is possible for this to translate down to the surface at times, giving breezy to windy conditions, especially in the vicinity of any shower or in elevated areas. The Met Office notes that the present Saharan dust concentration in the atmosphere is expected to continue to be mostly moderate for this outlook period. In the event of any bush or brush fires, landfill or forest fires, together with the Saharan dust, a further reduction in air quality is to be expected. Sensitive persons are advised to take the necessary precautions. Please continue to pay attention to the latest forecasts, alerts, and information issued by the TTMS.
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According to the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS), we can expect partly cloudy conditions today (Friday 17th May, 2024) with a few showers and a low (20%) chance of isolated heavy showers/thunderstorms. Conditions are expected to become increasingly settled as the afternoon progresses. Tonight will be mostly fair and hazy.
Gusty winds may occur in/near showers and street flooding may occur in areas so prone. A mild to moderate concentration of Saharan dust is present. Persons sensitive to changes in air quality are advised to exercise the necessary precautions. For Tobago and the remainder of the Lesser Antilles, mostly fair and breezy conditions will be occasionally interrupted by partly cloudy periods with showers over a few areas. Tonight will be mostly fair and hazy. The forecast maximum temperature today will be 34°C at Piarco in Trinidad and 33°C at Crown Point in Tobago. Seas are slight to moderate with waves up to 1.5m in open waters, below 1m and occasionally choppy in sheltered areas. Please continue to pay attention to the latest forecasts, alerts, and information issued by the TTMS. The Trinidad and Tobago Electricity Commission (T&TEC) said it recorded continuous increases in electricity demand over the past two (2) weeks, as previous peaks were exceeded on five (5) occasions.
In a Media Release today (Thursday 16th May, 2024), T&TEC said on 13th September, 2023, the Commission recorded its then-highest ever consumer electricity demand of 1,410 Megawatts (MW). However, the month of May 2024 has proven to be the highest thus far, with peak demands of 1,422 MW on the 2nd, 1,447.1 MW on the 6th, 1,448 MW on the 7th, 1,455.8 MW on the 13th and 1,456.2 MW on the 15th. The Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS) has announced that for the second quarter of the year, “day and night temperatures are predicted to be above average for most of Trinidad and Tobago, with high (70%) probabilities for short-duration hot spells from April to June.” T&TEC said while it has more than enough installed capacity (2,037 MW) to meet the surge in demand for electricity, “the increased demand has resulted in increased natural gas usage. Practicing conservation, once safe to do so, will therefore help to reduce the impact on the availability of natural gas.” Tips To Manage Your Electricity Usage Even During Soaring Temperatures Consider these tips to reduce the energy demand on the grid and lower your electricity bill:
The Media Release concluded by saying, “Every little bit helps, and collective action can make a difference.”
According to the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS), moderate to heavy rainfall amounts are expected during the next fifteen (15) days.
Trinidad and Tobago: Wet days are expected for the second fifteen (15) days of May from 17th – 19th and 22nd – 26th with relatively wet days also possible for the remainder of the period: 16th, 20th – 21st and 27th – 31st, with less than 10mm of rainfall expected. The daily rainfall totals are forecast to range between 64mm to 110mm. In Trinidad, the 15-day rainfall totals will range between 75mm and 110mm across different farmlands, favouring the Southern, Eastern and Northeastern areas of Trinidad: Sangre Grande, Fishing Pond, Plum Mitan, Nariva and Manzanilla and Southeastern areas of Mayaro, Guayaguayare, Moruga, Barrackpore and Penal. In Tobago, 15-day rainfall totals will range between 64mm and 84mm, favouring Southwestern and Eastern Tobago. Temperatures and Winds: Very warm to hot conditions are expected. Daily maximum temperatures will range between 31°C to 34°C throughout the period. However, temperatures are expected to have a real-feel or feels-like between 35°C to 45°C on most days. The minimum temperatures will range between 24°C to 27°C during most nights/early mornings. In general, mostly moderate Easterly to East-Southeasterly winds with an average speed of 20 - 40 Km/h are expected. Moderate to heavy rainfall totals, mostly moderate wind speeds, very warm or hot days, and warm feels-like temperatures will sustain average evapotranspiration rates in crops, ranging between 5mm to 15mm per day. Moisture levels: Over the 15-day period across Trinidad and Tobago, moisture levels are expected to be moderate to high with average daytime relative humidity values in the lower 50s to upper 70s, in terms of percentage.
For the full Agromet Forecast for farmers and livestock producers of Trinidad and Tobago, visit: https://www.metoffice.gov.tt/forecast.
Weather Assessment is available at: https://www.metoffice.gov.tt/agrobulletin. Please continue to pay attention to the latest forecasts, alerts, and information issued by the TTMS. According to the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS), we can expect sunny, slightly hazy and breezy conditions today (Thursday 16th May, 2024), despite a few light to moderate showery spells. Tonight will be fair at first, with occasional showers likely after Midnight.
The Met Office notes that there is a mild concentration of Saharan dust present. The forecast maximum temperature today will be 34°C at Piarco in Trinidad and 33°C at Crown Point in Tobago. Seas are slight to moderate with waves 1m to 2m in open waters and below 1m in sheltered areas. Please continue to pay attention to the latest forecasts, alerts, and information issued by the TTMS. The Ministry of Health is reminding the public that very high temperatures (heated conditions) can be dangerous and advises the population to take the necessary precautions to safeguard their health.
Stay hydrated by:
Protect yourself from the heat by:
The public is also advised to be aware of the signs of heat stroke and/or heat exhaustion:
The Ministry further advises to remember to check on family during hot weather, particularly the elderly and children, as very high temperatures can be dangerous to one's health. Please be guided accordingly. According to the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS), we can expect predominantly hot, sunny, and slightly hazy conditions today (Wednesday 15th May, 2024), with a light breeze and a few brief showers. There is the low (20%) chance of an isolated heavy afternoon shower favouring Trinidad. Tonight will be fair, despite the odd late-night shower.
The Met Office notes that gusty winds and street flooding are possible in the event of a heavy downpour. The forecast maximum temperature today will be 35°C at Piarco in Trinidad and 33°C at Crown Point in Tobago. Seas are slight to moderate with waves 1m to 1.5m in open waters and 0.5m to 1m in sheltered areas. Please continue to pay attention to the latest forecasts, alerts, and information issued by the TTMS. The Water and Sewerage Authority (WASA) is advising the public that as part of its strategies to mitigate the impact of prolonged Dry Season conditions, it has undertaken the following:
In a Notice shared online on Monday (13th May, 2024), WASA said it “understands that this can be a trying time but we urge citizens to stay the course of conservation as through our collective efforts, we will manage our water resource efficiently.” In addition to below-average rainfall activity, the impounded reservoirs of the Authority have also been negatively impacted by evaporation brought on by excessive heat. These adverse conditions have resulted in production deficits across the network of approximately 25% of surface source production in Trinidad and 43% in Tobago. Collectively, the supply deficit stands at approximately 35 imperial million gallons per day. According to the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS), we can expect generally fair, hazy and breezy conditions today (Tuesday 14th May, 2024), at times interrupted by partly cloudy spells with the isolated shower. Tonight will be mostly fair and hazy despite the isolated shower.
The Met Office notes that a mild concentration of Saharan dust is present in the atmosphere. Persons sensitive to these atmospheric conditions should take the necessary precautions. The forecast maximum temperature today will be 34°C at Piarco in Trinidad and 33°C at Crown Point in Tobago. Seas are moderate with waves up to 1.5m in open waters and near 1m in sheltered areas. Please continue to pay attention to the latest forecasts, alerts, and information issued by the TTMS. According to the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS), an induced surface trough together with low-level convergence and some moisture advection across the Lesser Antilles, is expected to cause mixed conditions during this outlook period (Tuesday 14th to Saturday 18th May, 2024). Sunshine and fair conditions are likely to be interrupted at times by cloudy patches, producing light or moderate showers over varying areas. There will exist a 10% to 20% chance for an isolated heavy shower to develop, especially during the afternoons and near hilly areas.
For this outlook period, Trinidad and Tobago is likely to initially experience generally fair conditions. Weak low-level convergence and moisture advection, mainly from the East and Northeast, is likely to produce patches of clouds, giving a light or moderate shower in a few areas. As the week progresses, by Thursday (16th May, 2024), there is expected to be an increase in atmospheric moisture encroaching from the Southeast. This, together with some low-level convergence, increases the probability (20% to 30%) for the development of a heavy shower in some areas, from Thursday (16th May, 2024) into Friday (17th May, 2024). According to present analysis, Friday (17th May, 2024) shows to be the day with the highest probability (30%) for the development of a heavy shower or thunderstorm, which would most likely be during the morning to early afternoon, favouring Western Trinidad, South and Southeast offshore areas, and hilly areas. The wind in the near-surface to mid-levels is expected to continue to be steady and moderate for this outlook period. It is possible for this to translate down to the surface at times, giving breezy to windy conditions, especially in the vicinity of any shower or in elevated areas. The Met Office notes that the present Saharan dust concentration in the atmosphere has been reduced to varying between moderate to mild, and is expected to continue like that for this outlook period. In the event of any bush or brush fires, landfill or forest fires, together with the Saharan dust, a further reduction in air quality is to be expected. Sensitive persons are advised to take the necessary precautions. Please continue to pay attention to the latest forecasts, alerts, and information issued by the TTMS. |
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